We Live In Interesting Times

Only a fool dare predict the outcome of the next general election. Suggestions that either the Liberal Democrats will be wiped out or UKIP will gain more than a handful of seats are probably wishful thinking on some parties’ behalf.

It’s looking like the major battleground will be Scotland, where the latest poll suggests Scottish Labour faces being wiped out by SNP. If that poll really does reflect the way the election will go, then the SNP are on course to become the third largest party in the next Parliament.

What that means for the next government is anyone’s guess. A potentially fractious Labour/SNP/Liberal Democrat coalition is probably the least bad option as long as UKIP don’t gain enough seats to be potential power-brokers.

But the worst nightmare, perhaps even worse than a feared Conservative/UKIP coalition would be a grand coalition between Labour and the Conservatives. Such a government could bring out the very worst in both parties; the swivel-eyed social reactionary side of the Tories and the nasty authoritarian side of Labour that hasn’t completely purged the ghost of Joseph Stalin from its veins. Such a chimaeric monster risks being closer to actual real fascism than any coalition involving the right-wing UKIP.

“May you live in interesting times” was always a curse.

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4 Responses to We Live In Interesting Times

  1. DrMoose says:

    That final possibility is a definite *shudder* moment.

  2. Tim Hall says:

    Indeed. Unlikely, but not impossible, which is scary.

  3. ard sloc says:

    You sent me to the dictionary for “chimaeric”. I found “chimaera: older spelling of chimera” = “idle or wild fancy”. Perhaps less fanciful is the possibility of a Labour or Conservative minority government. It is arguable that the last four years of Tory/Lib coalition have been better than Tory minority rule, but I’m not sure the politicos think so and there’s not been much effort to sell the idea of coalition government to vox pop. So there may be a bias against coalition in the next Parliament. But minority government with the likelihood so many small parties would probably be unstable and short-lived. How set in stone is the new five-year parliament rule?

  4. John P. says:

    “Toute nation a le gouvernement qu’elle mérite.”
    (Every nation has the government it deserves)
    Joseph de Maistre, 1811